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Election 2019 (with Prediction Poll)

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by Tony Wilkinson, Oct 31, 2019.

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What is the outcome of the 2019 election going to be?

Poll closed Dec 13, 2019.
  1. Tory Majority outright

    15 vote(s)
    42.9%
  2. Labour Majority outright

    2 vote(s)
    5.7%
  3. Tory Minority Government

    10 vote(s)
    28.6%
  4. Labour Minority Government

    1 vote(s)
    2.9%
  5. Government of national unity

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  6. Anarchy in the UK

    7 vote(s)
    20.0%
  1. Hoochy-Min

    Hoochy-Min Squad Player

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    A problem Labour now have is that their membership back Corbyn massively. It's the membership who will decide the next leader too. They can't just decide to switch to a centre left party.
     
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    Offcomedun likes this.
  2. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    I agree. Even after Corbyn has gone, the Labour party will be haunted by his legacy. For the forseeable future, they'll be little more than an umbrella organisation for protest groups rather than a fully fledged political party capable of attracting voters from across the political spectrum. And they have nobody to blame but themselves.

    That's a shame for politics in the UK where good government needs a good opposition.
     
  3. Tony Wilkinson

    Tony Wilkinson Squad Player
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    That's their problem, nobody cares, we are free from any form of left influence for at least 10 years.......rejoice...!!
     
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  4. Clity

    Clity Fringe Player

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    Theres every potential that once brexit is done and the people who voted for it cant blame remainers any more. That they see the whole mess for what it is. Theres no guarantee Boris can survive trying to meet the needs of the northern voters and the selfish needs of the southern tory voters. I know for a fact he will support his base not those who merely lent their votes.

    Should be an entertaining watch. Seeing them all turn on themselves.
     
  5. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    Really !!
    It won't matter to you will it, your bailing out and going abroad or that's what you was saying ?.
     
  6. Tony Wilkinson

    Tony Wilkinson Squad Player
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    Don't be too cocksure, Brexit now will be consigned to page 27 next to the crossword......
     
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  7. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    Brexit won't be concluded for some time yet and even by the time the economic cosequences of Brexit are felt, Labour will still be a spent force imo leaving red Tories and the new working class Tories nowhere to go. I don't anticipate Labour even becoming a viable opposition let alone a Govt in waiting for at least 5 years. Short of an unexpected calamity impacting on the UK, Boris will be here for some time to come. And in the mean time, he'll be telling everybody how well he is doing for the entire country whether that's true or not.
     
  8. Edin Nowhere

    Edin Nowhere Impact Sub
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    Whilst Labour have Momentum within the party calling everyone a Nazi and attacking anyone with a different view to them and coming up with open door immigration policies and carbon neutral by 2030 at conference etc, your run of the mill voter who you have to attract won't vote for them.

    Just seen Sadiq Khan on the TV, seems to be one of the few who aren't deluded that they actually won the argument.
     
  9. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    Khan has enough on his plate as Mayor of London.
     
  10. Clity

    Clity Fringe Player

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    Well dont know if ill get a visa or whatever the rules are going to be regarding that.
     
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  11. Tony Wilkinson

    Tony Wilkinson Squad Player
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    Saw this comment today after return to parliament :
    Im surprised Corbyn wasnt greeted by the chant youre sh 1 t and you know you are .. after such abject humiliating Ill judged and embarrassing failure..
     
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  12. River_City_Bantam

    River_City_Bantam Squad Player
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    And what both need is a better class of politician. It's not just a UK problem; far too many politicians everywhere are more interested in enriching themselves than their countries, or in riding their own particular hobbyhorses without looking at the bigger picture.

    And as I write that, I realise that you could use that argument against me on the subject of Brexit! C'est la vie...

    RCB
     
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  13. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    But we wouldn't;).
     
  14. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    We certainly do need a better class of politician on all sides. I'm sure there are some very good, well-intentioned MPs but too many in the self-serving, expense fiddling, forked tongue categories! I can't speak about other countries, but in the UK, we get the politicians we deserve! But our isues imo stem not just from the quality of politicians but from the voting system itself and the continued use of First Past the Post voting. It's time it was changed in a moden, multi party democracy. My other half worked a lot in Europe in countries (bar 1) where some form of PR is used in elections. She has commented about how those countries who use PR don't have the wide swings in policy when one party forms a new Govt. There's a greater use of soft coalitions and whilst the two major parties would more than likely disagree, it provides a better democratic result for the smaller parties who receive lots of votes but a less than proportionate number of MPs. That's just wrong.


    PS The thought of using your hobbyhorse comment against you never entered my head ... unless you are a politician! ;)
     
  15. River_City_Bantam

    River_City_Bantam Squad Player
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    No, definitely not a politician...but certainly blessed, or would that be cursed, with an ability to see the other side.

    Speaking of the self-serving, expense-fiddling, hobbyhorse-riding class, over here we had that scandal in the Senate a few years ago, when several members became just too greedy and blatant in their self-enrichment. And at the provincial level, our current Premier claims to be for the common people, and to want to eliminate wasteful spending...but has spent $10,000 or so on anti carbon-tax stickers which petrol stations have been forced to affix to their pumps or else, and has reserved some $30 million (!) to take the federal government to court over the carbon tax -- a case which is generally acknowledged to be a losing one. Meanwhile, provincial funding for a light-rail system in nearby Hamilton was pulled yesterday, using the excuse that the costs for building the system will rise too much. This from a gov't that claimed the provincial deficit was going to be some $15 billion, or just about double what it actually was! As some have pointed out, costs of a project generally do indeed rise higher than the original estimates, but generally not by 400-500%.

    FPP vs. PR -- I don't think PR is better, to be honest. My concerns would be i) the inherent instability of coalition governments, ii) the fact that you may no longer be represented by the politician from the party you have voted for, and iii) that old saying about politics making for strange bedfellows. But yes, FPP does have the disadvantages you mention.

    On point iii), consider the current case of another country which I know very well indeed, Estonia. The poor president has had to apologise yet again, this time to Finland, for insulting comments made by a politician -- the Interior Minister no less -- from one of the coalition parties, EKRE (The Conservative People's Party). EKRE had been quiet for over a week now, and I was beginning to get worried! But to eliminate EKRE from the coalition will mean the fall of the government, and the current prime minister seems very much to love being PM, so much so that he'll countenance any bad behaviour by coalition members. No sense of shame would be a fair comment...

    RCB
     
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  16. Edin Nowhere

    Edin Nowhere Impact Sub
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    Corbyn has announced that Labour will vote against the withdrawal bill on Friday.

    It's as if last Thursday never happened. I'm sure some leave voting seats might not actually tow the Corbyn line however anymore.
     
  17. Tony Wilkinson

    Tony Wilkinson Squad Player
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    Think he will be the only one, others should vote for it just to stick 2 fingers up to the mad old goat....
     
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  18. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    It must have been passed at the party conference that Labour try and disrupt all things Brexit, with Boris's majority it won't make the slightest bit of differance.
    Labour will vote against it on principle as the main opposition party, to try and give the party a little creadability after Thursdays disaster.
    As you say have they learnt nothing from Thursdays result.
     
  19. Idlebantam

    Idlebantam Squad Player
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    I wish the Commie old fool would disappear to Venezuela, and take his fellow left wing loonies with him.
     
  20. Edin Nowhere

    Edin Nowhere Impact Sub
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    Thornberry as Labour Leader.

    It's as if Labour never want to get into power. Let's swap Islington North for Islington South, that will win it!
     
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