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Brexit

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by Park bantam, Jun 14, 2018.

  1. YungNath

    YungNath Impact Sub

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    except they dont offer every country completely uniform identical deals so they aren't bullying us by offering terms unique to our situation. they are worried we will just undercut them which I do not think is an unreasonable worry to have about our government as they cannot be trusted and do not keep their word.
     
  2. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    I responded to that same comment you made earlier. If they have trade deals with Turkey and Jordan and Morocco, in EU term they are not important. But we're not a developing country selling cheapish agricultural products into the EU. In selling our services into the EU (I focus on services because that's what our economy and our export earnings is now based on), we pose an increased threat to the EU providers of those services within their SM if we don't abide with the EUs standards.

    That's the politics of the situation. The EU can include or exclude their broader standards from certain trade agreements as they wish. The UK sees itself as a competitor within the SM but wants to avoid meeting the EUs own standards to make what the UK is providing a little cheaper. When Mrs T and Lord Cockfield who was the UK's EU competition commissioner designed the SM, they put in place the concept of a level playing field to ensure that competition within the SM was fair and wouldn't allow individual starts to take advantage by not implementing stuff like common environmental and employment standards. It's been embedded in the EU ever since the Maastricht Treaty and personally I don't see the EU giving in easily on this especially in our case.

    And none of this is new. It was all known at the time of the Referendum.
     
  3. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    I know the reasons why and we need to make the most of those worries.

    If the EU will accept items being .made in Chinese or Moroccan sweatshops to be sold in their area then they can't come all high and mighty about us needing to live by their standards.

    And it still doesn't answer my question about why we would want a foreign organisation setting our rules for us.
     
  4. YungNath

    YungNath Impact Sub

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    Except they aren't and people have said this to you several times now. question answered.
     
  5. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    You did answer that question before and I appreciate it, but you answered it from the point of view of the EU and really I'm interested in the opposite. It's obvious why the EU would want to limit the flexibility of a competitor but I can't for the life of me think of a reason why we'd accept it. If goods in Morocco can be made in sweatshops and sold into the EU but the exact same items can't be made in the UK because the company don't pay the "right" amount of tax or the employees don't get enough holidays then why would we ever accept that? It's the complete opposite of the level playing field.

    I 100% see it from the EU's point of view but lets not pretend this "level playing field" isn't completely negotiable. Competition within the SM is one thing but we are now, and will continue to be, outside of that. They have signed trade deals in the past that don't require common environmental and employment standards so why do we talk like they are prerequisites? It's all negotiable.
     
  6. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    Sorry, which bit of that are you saying doesn't occur?

    And it still doesn't answer my question about why we would want a foreign organisation setting our rules for us.
     
  7. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    I honestly think originally it was about making a point with regards the UK having the audacity to question the EU and the way it was going in the future, they needed to try and frightening the UK into believing it's the end of the world leaving the EU and we won't be able to survive in the big world on WTO, and of course keeping other EU countries in line.
    I don't have a problem with the EU trying to make it hard but they say we can't have a deal similar to the likes of Canada, Japan or South Korea because we're too near the EU, do they seriously believe after the dealings we've had with the EU negotiators we wont undercut EU tariffs, once out we will do exactly what we want with regards bettering the UK.
     
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  8. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    I'm not convinced that it is negotiable in our position. The integrity of the SM is so important to the EU27 country such as ours which wants full access to the SM and in those areas where EU countries have strong interests. That includes most of the service sector which represents most of our economy these days and future sectors such as AI and robotics where we want to become a major player. No offence to Turkey and Morocco but our trade is dependent of cheap fruit and veg. My view is that that they'll be unlikely to change their position for a major developed country such as our own. I've never believed that the UK really understands how important maintaining the integrity of the SM is to the EU. They won't give that up cheaply if at all.

    It's all negotiable? Of course we want it to be all negotiable and for their rules to be loosened. But we were the ones who chose to leave the EU and we shouldn't be expecting special treatment. I don't understand where our negotiating strength comes from. We're an economy of 60 mill or so and they're a trading bloc of over 500 mill. What do we have to offer which will get them to change their position? The threat of a no deal? We've been trying that one for about 2 years without much joy. Saying they need us more than we need them? At least that argument hasn't been heard for some time. We'll get ourselves a good trade deal with the US? That's looking less likely as the days go and in any event it doesn't fit well with Trump's America First agenda. We're simply not in a good negotiating position with the EU to get them to change their stance.and undermine the SM.
     
  9. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    I don't have a problem with the EU making it hard either, I fully expected them to negotiate with us on the basis of us being competitors and rightly so.

    What I can't get my head around is people in the UK accepting that tough stance from the EU but expecting the UK to negotiate as "friends". If one side of a negotiation is trying to be friendly and the other side are trying to be competitive then you might as well bend over and take it.

    Whenever the UK does something that might "upset" the EU there seems to be outrage but if the EU do something that shouldn't be acceptable to us the narrative is quite of then that they 100% can't move from that. Even if you can point out other occasions when they have moved on the exact same position.

    Whenever you are negotiating with a larger competitor the main point you have is that you can increase your flexibility and become more competitive on your own. If you gave that up then why even bother negotiating at all?
     
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  10. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    Once again I completely agree that the EU won't want to impede the integrity of the single market.

    We can move on from Morocco and Turkey if you like and talk about Japan if that helps. I'm sure they are at the forefront of AI and Robotics and they have a trade agreement without standardisation of economic and environmental standards.

    If we go outside of the EU but agree to terms that are worse than other countries in the same boat.....so why would we? It doesn't make any sense to agree to that.

    As for leverage, once again I don't particularly think we have loads, but a simple sense of scale means that accepting a worse deal than other smaller economies is completely non-nonsensical. The real point though is in the language we use - making out like the EU rules are absolutely set and that we should just accept whatever they deem to give.
     
  11. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    Here's a straight lift from one para of the Memorandum on the EU-Japan trade deal ...

    "The agreement will further improve the position of EU exporters and investors on Japan's large market, while including strong guarantees for the protection of EU standards and values."

    Japan may not have identical regulatory standards but they have high standards in the same areas. Their trade agreement confirms that those standards won't be reduced. In another part of the trade deal, both parties commit to encouraging the rest of the world to implement those high standards. The EU-Japan trade agreement puts an onus on both parties to retain high standards which each party trusts the other to deliver on.

    On the other hand, we originally agreed to commit to maintaining regulatory standards between EU27 and the UK. That commitment was removed from the final Withdrawal Agreement following the 11th hour deal between the PM and Taoiseach and that commitment was relegated to the Political Statement with a promise that regulatory standards wouldn't be reduced. Barely was the ink dry when Gove announced that after all the regulatory standards may not be upheld by the UK. And then the PM was saying that the NI Protocal in the Withdrawal Agreement didn't require the equivalent of a customs border between NI and GB nor did it require the alignment of regulatory standards between NI and RoI aka EU27. And most experts on this says it clearly does. At that point the trust seems to evaporate and it's now been made worse by the shenigans of the UK NI Secretary saying we'll commit an illegal act by breaking the Withdrawal Agreement! I'll say it again, the EU no longer trust us and against that background, I wouldn't expect them to do anything which undermines the SM.
     
  12. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    And I'd be fine with exactly the same woolly paragraph in our trade deal.

    What it doesn't do is give the EU powers to dictate Japan's internal standards and rightly so.
     
  13. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    As has been said many times with regards leaving/brexit why would we want a remainer to negotiate any deal that they were not really wanting, not once during the original talks did Theresa May mention walking without a deal Barnier actually made the quote, how could the EU negotiators keep a straight face embarrassing.
    The nearer she got to doing a so called deal the more of her brexit negotiators resigned, David Davis, then Dominic Raab walking out after being ask to sign the last negotiated document by Theresa May, walking out after resigning stating he could not put his signature to the document.
     
  14. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    And keep them as they are now? The EU are insisting they can set higher standards if they wish in the future and we must increase ours to match them with no choice, We would be bound by EU rules on state aid, subsidies, environment, food standards, Farming quotas and support and a whole host of other things the EU are insisting they must control from now on with the British people and parliament having no say and despite them not applying this to any other country they have agreed trade deals with, It is an attempt to keep one foot of the UK in the EU.
     
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  15. Stafford Bantam

    Stafford Bantam Captain
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    I don't think either side wants 'no deal'; otherwise the easy answer, for either side, would be to walk away from the talks.

    That said, I firmly believe the only way we will get a fair deal (for the UK) is to do just that; walk away and hope that the reality of 'no deal' will focus minds on achieveing what we have failed to do in what is now over 4 years since the vote.
     
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  16. Feats Don't Fail Me Now

    Feats Don't Fail Me Now Fringe Player

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    It seem the single biggest issue is the border between the Republic of Ireland and the 6 counties in the north. We shall refer to these as "The Occupied Territories".

    It is really starting to grate. Why, why, why is no one facing up to the elephant in the room?

    There is a simple solution to the 'border in the Irish Sea' question.

    Time to hand back the 6 counties, Aontroim, Ard Mhach, An Dun, Fhear Manach, Doire and Tir Eoghain, "The occupied Territories" and reunite Ireland.

    Once this is done England (because let's be frank it is England that is negotiating this, Scotland and "The Occupied Territories" are being dragged along without consent) can do as they please without worrying about integrity across a group of individual countries that England should have no say or control over.

    Unite Ireland Now!
     
  17. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    It was faced up to, well, sort of! The NI Protocol aligned NI with the RoI aka EU27 on cross border trade which was included in the Withdrawal Agreement which the PM described as a 'fabulous deal' when he signed it. He then described it as an 'oven ready deal' when he got his mandate from the Brexit GE and again when he got the support of the HoC to ratify the deal in UK law. And the implication of all of that was to create a customs border between GB and NI in the Irish Sea. The PM suggests that isn't the case but he was told loudly and clearly at the time that his version of the WA would do exactly what it said - a separation between GB and NI for stuff moving in that westerly direction. That's what the PM signed up to and that's what we now have despite his blustering to the contrary.

    If you're looking for a short term solution to the reintegration of the 6 counties into the ROI, you're going to be disappointed. Give it 10 years maybe by which time nationalists will be the majority in the Province and the GFA will kick in to provide a legal electoral way through the quagmire.
     
  18. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    The issue with the trade agreement has little to do with standards on food or animal welfare or environmental standards as it is accepted if we want to trade in there market we will have to abide by the standards they set.

    The disagreement is over state aid to companies etc, They want us to accept the EU rules on state aid which we refuse to do, The EU is worried we will subsidise our industries to compete both with them and other countries,
    You can forget all this about standards it is not the real issue we can not agree on, The UK as a free country quite rightly is insisting on the right to decide these itself on state aid and not the EU
     
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  19. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    State aid is problematic. In the EU despite what the EU says, state aid is quite widely used and they even agreed that is amounted to around 0.7-0.8% of the EUs GDP. The UK also uses state aid (more than it admits to!) but even then at a much lower rate than the EU - approx 0.3%

    If we want to trade with the EU then we can't go around subsidising our companies to be able to compete better with their German and French counterpart etc. We will have to do it in accordance with the EU market rules if we want a FTA. It's not as though under WTO rules state aid is widely accepted. The WTO doesn't call it state aid, it refers to subsidies, countervailing measure and anti- dumping and all can be challenged in the WTO court as China, US, Korea, Japan, Boeing and Airbus know full well. Whether what we have planned in the future on state aid would contravene the WTO rules on subsidies and dumping only time will tell. But the rules of the WTO don't allow a country to use subsidies on a carte blanche basis.
     
  20. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    The EU wants to have its cake and also eat it, Like the US it uses subsidies quite widely especially in farming and food products, It also offers substantial benefits to the likes of Suzuki, Kia and Hyundai to build car plants in the EU, We use subsidies far less than them but to compete in the future we will have to use subsidies the same as they do, They see this as a threat to both farming and industries, If the UK used a combination of subsidies and low corporation tax we would be a very attractive place to relocate to.
     
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