The Turnaround: In Numbers

Have you got a form table ? Dare we say we have the legs for a cheeky playoff push or maybe it’s about building momentum for next year and doing the auto route.

 

It's a remarkable turn around. As Trueman and Sellars took the reins, many fans were worried about the very really prospect of us losing our football league status as we plunged into the bottom 2.

Whilst I think talk of the playoffs now is a bit premature, surely, the pair now deserve to be rewarded with an offer of permanent roles? What more can they do to impress.

 

Someone posted our stats on WOAP in the CUFC match report comments:
The average points for a play off spot has been 73 points. We’d need to get 48 more points, an average of 2 points per game. That’s 2 wins in every 3 matches we play. To put that into context, the top team in the last 3.5 seasons has averaged 1.93 points game…so we’d need to play top of the table form for the remaining 24 games. Gulp.

 

Cheers makes a pleasant read.

 

So it’s about building momentum for next year then!! No way we are doing that.

 

this ones good too. https://www.soccerstats.com/formtable.asp?league=england4

Honestly when was the last time we had such a run? who would have thought after the oldham game we would do this?

 

I'm never one for turning any chance of progression down and if we could get into a possible play off place we have to go for it IMO.

 

saw this as a good time to show some graphs Ive been making over the past couple of years. The chart on the left is inspired by @River_City_Bantam graphs. Shows where we are currently. The other graph shows our current progress with other seasons.

 

But maybe this isn't a normal year. An awful lot of teams are very close together and we've got half the season still to play. Fixture congestion will play a big part too, as will luck with injuries and suspensions. If we can keep up this form we could well be within touching distance of the playoffs in a month or so. Many a team has come from nowhere in the past so why not us?

 

I think us and the Mansfield fans would have laughed at this form table in November/December

 

Yes but teams like Carlisle who are already in the playoffs have games in hands on us.

 

I'd say if we can get 7+ points from the next 3 games then it's on, otherwise we leave ourselves too much to catch up, it's amazing where even talking about this though tbf.

 

For me, it’s when the inevitable loss comes and how we react to it that will define our season.

Long way to go, yet.

 

And another gulp or two more... If one chooses to be very optimistic, one could point out that the fewest points a playoff team has won in the 3-points-for-a-win era has been 66, which would mean a 1.65 points-per-match pace for us from now on. Our present good run has got us up to 1.22... I'd love it if we did manage 7th or better, as that would mean a brilliant second-half of the season. But I think it more likely that this season will be about getting set up well for a promotion push next season.

I'd like to see us finish in the top half, better still top-10; this current squad is certainly capable of that. Add some strengthening in the summer -- the famous "last pieces" of the jigsaw puzzle -- and we should be a lot happier in 21/2.

RCB

 

Yes, we've just got our noses above the guaranteed safety line, Finally! But the start of the season was bad enough that it will take a while yet to even get to the "Ronnie Brown" comfort line, let alone playoffs. Still, it's nice to be feeling optimistic again.

RCB

 

After Barrow we have some really tough fixtures away at Exeter improving Scunthorpe and Salford get a good points all out of those fixtures and it could be interesting. But I am just happy we have put a good distance between us and relegation