Most liked posts in thread: Donald Trump *ahem* Tax Payments

Circumstances are different though. Biden’s lead has been pretty much bullet consistent since his nomination, and it’s also significantly higher than Clinton’s. Trump’s running as an incumbent, which is also a totally different dynamic. His popularity ratings are consistently negative (no president has sustained such negative personal ratings through a term and held on).

And also, Biden’s personal popularity ratings are vastly different to Hillary Clinton’s.

In all though, the logic inherent in your suggestion is that being ahead in the polls is a bad thing. I’m not saying that it’s a lock, but given the data that’s available, and using more than just 2016 as a data point, it’s looking bad and getting worse for Trump.

 

Yeah, he’s milking it and playing it down for all it’s worth like he’s done all along (we’ve not been too dissimilar at times over here). It’d all be embarrassingly hilarious if it wasn’t potentially so serious. Looking after his buddies and big business first, who cares if more people die, just get back to work. the economy is obviously important but everything seems to come down to an ‘either / or’ these days, the economy needs to open up yes, but in a managed way, there is so much more nuance to it than than the message he’s sending.

 

It won't make a difference to his hardcore supporters. But it may just influence enough swing voters to make some difference. Fingers crossed.

 

Yeah, Taxes are for the little people to pay,

....................Just ask @Fordy117

 

The lyrically named hybrid mismatch and reverse hybrid ?

 

I understand why people felt they couldn't vote for Labour under Corbyn. I'll never understand why so many voted for Brexit in 2016 when it's clearly going to do them so much harm.

 

Won't change anything, he's done some very sinister stuff around data analytics and the online world and created a cult essentially. Evangelical Christians have a lot to answer for when this is all over with

 

Not a fan then?..

 

I’m really not sure how you can be so confident on that, unless there’s data to support it. No US president has ever sustained such negative popularity ratings.

Biden has been up about 7 points pretty much since the DNC, and that’s growing, not shrinking. He’s up 5 in Pennsylvania, up 8 in Michigan and he’s even up 2 in Arizona and Georgia. Arizona has gone blue once since 1952 and Georgia hasn’t been blue for 28 years.

Before cracking back on polling, Hillary was not up by this degree last time, and there wasn’t a substantial polling error in any instance.

It’s definitely not a done deal, but the data supports the assertion that Trump is a busted flush. And this is before his Covid diagnosis - which I can’t imagine is obviously going to improve his chances.

Trump can still win, but his chances are dwindling. He has to change the above and he’s rapidly running out of road.

 

Not that you should really cherrypick individual polls, but the movement between them is indicative. Biden moves from an 8 to a 14 point lead with WSJ.

 

It’s merely an opinion. I haven’t a clue how it will go. I don’t like to consider myself a sceptic but polls have been wrong in very important referendums/elections recently. It’s going to be interesting to see how it goes.

One of the ‘Trump car trains’ drove past my house yesterday. My post code I would imagine is very blue. The were followed by 4/5 police cars. Nearly spat my breakfast out. Lol.

 

He was behind in the polls against Clinton but still won, Just saying

 

Potentially one of the biggest regrets we can now have in hindsight was the vote on proportional representation. It passed me by a bit but in hindsight this was crucial. How many people voted for labour or conservatives last election because to do otherwise was a wasted vote. Ok it can cause stalemate and allow in extremes but those extremes exist currently but within parties like the ERG and momentum.