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Brexit

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by Park bantam, Jun 14, 2018.

  1. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    No the next time it will count as we're all aware of whats involved now, so we will make an informed decision where as in the first vote we knew nothing, yet most of the stuff that was said about what would happen the day after we voted to leave never came to fruition.
     
  2. SimonW

    SimonW Administrator
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    The problem is this sets a bad precedent though. A big reason we 'knew nothing' is that with voting to leave anything there are massive unknowns because until a vote has been done the finer details can be ironed. If we have a second Scottish referendum do we then have another one if Leave wins but England play hardball on the leaving agreement so that its a bad deal for them to leave
     
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  3. Stafford Bantam

    Stafford Bantam Captain
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    I think that to have a second referendum on the same issue within a certain time period, there should be a high threshold to overturn the original decision. For example, for any referendum on the same issue, say, within a 10 year period there would need to be at least 75% of the vote in favour of overturning the original decision.

    That would apply to Brexit, Scottish Independence or any other referendum. Anything else, just brings the whole process into disrepute.
     
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  4. Idlebantam

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    The fact a second referendum is mooted at all, is bringing the process into disrepute.

    As for the Lib Dems, how on earth are they allowed to have Democratic in their party name still?
     
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  5. Stafford Bantam

    Stafford Bantam Captain
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    No, there has to be provision for times when, maybe due to a change in circumstances, there has been a dramatic change in opinion. I know that's not the case with Brexit, but there does need to be such a mechanism in place.

    Re the Lib Dems, at least I understand their stance, even if I don't agree with it; they will revoke Article 50 only if they win the next election. However, I remain of the firm belief that we must honour the original referendum result.
     
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  6. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    Unless there is a General Election I can see this situation running and running (unless the EU say enough is enough) and they want us to stay so I cant see that anytime soon.
    If we have a General Election it will be interesting how the remain parties play there cards if it's a free for all because any single party believes they can get a majority it could let a Tory/Brexit coalition in, Farage saying he will not join a coalition unless the Tories are prepared to leave without a deal, would Boris if he's still the leader of the Tory party agree to that sort of demand.
     
  7. SimonW

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    That makes it abusable though. How many people who voted leave have actually changed their mind? I would hazard a guess most still stand by their reasons to vote leave, they just don't like the idea of either a no-deal or the only deal the EU will offer when the Gov are doing everything they can to try and force revoking Article 50 by removing any cards we have to play
     
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  8. Stafford Bantam

    Stafford Bantam Captain
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    Which is why I suggested there needs to be a higher majority, say 75%, in a second referendum, to overturn a result.
     
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  9. SimonW

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    Yes but it might very well get 75% just because a situation had been engineered that no-one likes.
     
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  10. Stafford Bantam

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    At the present time I couldn't see anyway that remain would get 75% of the vote; 51%, 52% quite possibly, but 75% no way. And, in the extremely unlikely event that it did get 75% of the vote, it would indicate that there had been a massive shift in public opinion.

    I see no significant change in people's views on Brexit, a small shift, maybe. However, despite personally having no strong views on leaving on remaining, I do have strong views on our democracy and the primacy of our Parliament (even if I don't like what our MPs do much of the time). On that basis, I believe the original referendum decision must be delivered.
     
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  11. SimonW

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    The thing is though we basically have the following options
    1. Leave with no deal
    2. Leave with Mays Deal
    3. Leave with Corybns deal which was back in Jan leaving but still abiding by pretty much every rule, still contributing money but having no MEP's and no seat at the table when EU leaders meet
    4. Revoking Article 50
    1 only pleases the most hardline ones, I don't feel they were the biggest group of leave voters. 2 has issues that remain or soft Brexit people can't accept. 3 Soft Brexit people won't accept and neither will remainers (Its basically all the bad and with no say we are at their mercy).

    Those 3 I feel push a lot of Leavers into reluctantly taking Revoking A50 as the best of a bad bunch of options. It's not that they want to remain, they still stand by their core reasons in the first place but being stuck in limbo for longer and to remove the chance of these bad deals or no-deal being taken that they would switch.

    And I'm not sure many are like me to balance it out, I voted remain and still think its what's best BUT I would vote for a hard Brexit right now simply because I feel what a large number of our MP's have done is despicable. Their constituents voted to leave and they went against them. That's as undemocratic as it comes (And to think they think they though proroguing Parliament was undemocratic, can they not see the irony. Especially when apparently they feel they need time to discuss Brexit but can basically waste a day stroking Bercows ego)
     
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  12. Dionysus

    Dionysus Fringe Player

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    Personally I think referenda are a terrible way of implementing democracy when we have a functioning governmental democracy that is supposed to be sovereign. It only ends up in this kind of situation.

    That said, and in that spirit, if a government got elected on a manifesto to run a second referendum, then I don’t think you can argue as to the democratic legitimacy of that. If a government was elected on a democratic mandate of a no deal Brexit, it would be similarly difficult to argue the legitimacy of such a position.

    This is how democracy works. Government by referenda is an unworkable companion.
     
  13. Dionysus

    Dionysus Fringe Player

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    This is certainly a legitimate opinion to have, but it’s not a given to allow it to be democratic. No government can bind the hands of their successor, and that’s the way it should be. If you don’t like a government’s proposed way of doing things then you simply don’t vote them in.
     
  14. Dionysus

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    Couple of corrections. Number 3 is not ‘Corbyn’s deal’ - there isn’t really any such thing as Corbyn’s Brexit at the moment, which is perhaps a different criticism to level at him.

    Secondly, it’s not as undemocratic as you think it is. The Tories had fox hunting and grammar schools in their 2017 Manifesto - and here we are without them. Let’s take 2015 where the Conservatives actually won a majority - pledges to get immigration down to five figures and eliminate the deficit. My point is that neither of these happened, but undeniably gained them votes - thus people not getting what they voted for. It’s extremely common.

    We had an election in 2017 that changed both the goalposts and the scope of what was achievable. Had a Liberal Democrat majority been elected, we’d have a perfectly legitimate democratic mandate to remain. There should be absolutely no reason a referendum carries more democratic weight than a general election - just as it is problematic for future governments to be saddled with a binding execution from a previous government.

    I’m not saying that people shouldn’t be frustrated by it, they absolutely should and it’s outrageous that we are where we are. There is an alternative! Vote for the Brexit Party! The current situation is an affront to leadership, not democracy.
     
  15. SimonW

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    Except that's what he did suggest in January. It may have changed since then but as he refuses to reveal what his plans currently are we have to take the last thing we heard from him as an 'idea'

    A general election is slightly different though. First of all, we aren't voting on single issues. The likelihood is no matter who you vote for in a GE you don't agree with every part of of a manifesto. And then we aren't voting for the party we want, we are voting for the local MP. They have their own policies and you might very well be voting on those, not on the wider country issues. As such there will always be manifesto promises that once in they find they will never get through

    With a referendum though its a single issue, we were all voting on the same thing. Ignoring what the people you represent mainly voted for is undemocratic
     
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  16. Offcomedun

    Offcomedun Important Player
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    MPs are representatives, not delegates mandated by their constituency electorates. There is no requirement for MPs to canvas the majority view on any given issue and then follow it. Our political system does not, and cannot, work like that. You'd have to abolish whips and abandon cabinet joint responsibility if it did.
    Expecting MPs to act as mandated delegates is one reason why we're in this mess. As well as presenting a complex, multi-faceted concept like Brexit, with numerous potential nuances, as a single simplistic 'leave' on a ballot paper. Not all leave voters were voting for the same thing at all - a third are opposed to No Deal and without their votes Leave would have lost the referendum. Yet that tiny majority is now being cited as a mandate for No Deal Brexit. Democracy, my arse.
     
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  17. Stafford Bantam

    Stafford Bantam Captain
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    So, after 80 pages, we are all agreed then, it's a mess.
     
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  18. trevor

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    You say this despite countries like Switzerland and some other countries using them to decide issues regularly, Also some US states use that method especially California, Referendums work well as long as the government that asks the question implements the result, That is true democracy by the people for the people
     
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  19. Offcomedun

    Offcomedun Important Player
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    And as long as what is being voted on is clear and explicit. Lumping those who voted for No Deal together with those who voted for a Norway+ type soft Brexit (as was being heavily touted at the time) together is not democracy for the people by the people, it's a recipe for confusion, chaos and discord. At least a third of those who voted Leave did not vote for the car crash No Deal Brexit that the ERG and others are now pushing us towards.

    Also, those countries that regularly use referenda invariably require a super majority. Nobody, except us, makes sweeping constitutional changes on a simple majority, precisely because it's so divisive. Those wishing to change the status quo have to demonstrate an unambiguous mandate for change, not 52/48 when one voting option is totally undefined..
    Everything about the way the referendum was set up was absurd and undemocratic.
     
  20. Get Rid Of It

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    Not quite, it's an entertaining and educational mess,
    found out alot about parliament,democracy,amendments,the pm,a supreme court,queeny,mp's that dont represent the wishes of their voters, etc etc.

    Even when we do leave this will not be the end of brexit.
    Only the end of the beginning.
     
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