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Most liked posts in thread: Afghanistan

  1. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    Biden was right and it is the correct policy, Someone has to explain why the US thought and paid for an Afghan army of 300,00 to defend the country when those who know the inside of the Afghan army claim it was only in fact 50,000 strong and on the verge of defeat anyway

    Those MPs making fine speeches saying about going back to help should go back themselves first rather than sending others to die in a country already lost while they make long speeches about what others should do,
     
    #25 trevor, Aug 18, 2021
    Last edited: Aug 18, 2021
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  2. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    All this is likely true. But the decision is whether to help your allies to see it through or turn and run.

    If you choose to turn and run then own it don't start implying that people who had fought and died under your flag showed cowardice when you're the one turning tail.

    Also make sure you're leaving people who were helping you are going to be okay.

    I actually have no issue with them withdrawing in general (I hope they remember it the next time they want to start chucking their weight around but probably wont) but it's the lack of planning execution and the poor rhetoric that is really annoying to me.
     
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  3. SimonW

    SimonW Administrator
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    No he can’t. The President has a very small set of areas he actually has autonomy in, most things have to pass through the houses. And while that is largely the same in the U.K. the big difference is while we vote for an MP and the party who has the most seats in the commons selects the PM, their setup is you vote for a President, you vote for a senator and you vote for a congressman. Congressmen sit in the House of Representatives and there are 435 of them and each sits a 2 year term. How many congressmen each area gets is dependent on the areas population, the bigger the representative area the more you get. The Senate has 100 members as each state gets 2. They serve 6 year terms but they are staggered so you have a third who are in their first two years, a third on years 3 to 4 and the final third on years 5 and 6. Together they then make up Congress. Ultimately it means a President rarely has the power to do what they like as you don’t usually have control of the house and senate to force things through.

    The only option the President has to take unilateral actions is an executive order and those have restrictions for when they can be used. Most of the time it’s a battle for them to get things passed
     
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  4. ConnecticutBantam

    ConnecticutBantam Impact Sub
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    Apparently big issues between the Brits and the US on the group out there. Paras have been going into Kabul to get our people - and other nations citizens. The US apparently worried about upsetting the TB by leaving the airport.
     
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  5. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    All of this is mighty fine and completely true.

    But he can at least try to do the right thing and if he gets bogged down in the complex processes then so be it.

    But just watch these interviews which are 6 weeks apart.





    This is not a President who has been tied in knots by a bureaucratic process. It's a President that has gone down the route that he wanted, underestimated the enemy and is now coming across as uncaring.

    Then this morning he's rather chillingly said..."If there's American citizens left, we're gonna stay to get them all out," I would hope what he actually meant is 'Americal allies" because if they start pulling up the drawbridge before all of our people are out then we might have a massive issue.

    Imagine if other presidents had responded to people falling from planes with "Ah yeah but that was 5 day ago" or said that this type of chaos was inevitable and built in to the decision making a month after saying it wouldn't happen.
     
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  6. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    Nearly 100,000 airlifted from Kabul airport but now reports the one we actually went to evacuate such as interpreters and those others working for UK government or our forces are in danger of been left behind,
    The word shambles comes to mind as thousands of economic migrants are airlifted out and those we went for are left to the fate of the Taliban
     
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  7. Tony Wilkinson

    Tony Wilkinson Squad Player
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    Isis-k attacking the Taliban....!!
    What a wonderful world...
     
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  8. Offcomedun

    Offcomedun Important Player
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    It's a shocking failure of intelligence. The US and Britain clearly did not expect the Afghan army to fold so quickly and comprehensively. They appear to have assumed that they had plenty of time to get the necessary people out of the country before the Taliban got anywhere near Khabul. Big, inexcusable mistake.
     
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  9. NorthernMonkey

    NorthernMonkey Squad Player
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    It's a very sad state of affairs indeed. I've been on holiday this last week and not seen much of it so wondered if Biden is getting hammered for it and if there are the inevitable "wouldn't have happened under Trump" comparisons?

    I've certainly no point to make as I haven't read or seen enough of it so I'm massively uninformed but I just wondered what other people's thoughts were without politicising it, if it's possible.
     
  10. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    It's been the usual predictable response from a lot of people where the stance taken is judged on the basis of who is taking the decision rather than the actual repercussions. People and media outlets who would have defended Trump for the decision have been very aggressive with Biden and vice versa. The Guardian had a critical article on Biden the other day but it was the most gentle, diverting and balanced writing I've ever seen, would they have done the same if Trump had made the decision and given the recent speeches?

    In my view his speech last night was disgrace and the USA equivalent of a Little Englander but others will have loved it. I don't know how any country who goes into coalition with the USA in the future can have trust that they won;t just cut and run if they need to focus more at home.

    The thing is though that there is so much blame to go around that almost every stance can be taken in good faith and justified. Basically every President in the last 2 decades of both colours have lied about the situation in Afghanistan and all involved have made terrible decisions. I just wish the response was more consistent rather than through the lens of whether the decision makes was Republican or Democrat.
     
    #5 Aaron Baker, Aug 17, 2021
    Last edited: Aug 17, 2021
  11. Tony Wilkinson

    Tony Wilkinson Squad Player
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    That's right, there are plenty of like minded countries in that area and yet I suspect the English channel is about to get even busier...
     
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  12. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    I suspect the reason the Afghan forces did not fight when the US troops left them was simply that Afghanistan is a Muslim country, The Afghan army are Muslim, The Taliban are Muslim,
     
  13. ConnecticutBantam

    ConnecticutBantam Impact Sub
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    Lots of British vets in particular coming out and saying the slander from Biden towards to Afghan forces was ridiculous. Easy for westerners to sit there and say "the Afghans never fought for their freedom"... Yet when retired servicemen are coming out and defending the ANA you have to realize something was wrong from the start.
     
  14. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    Unfortunately its not the first time the Afghanistan army have not driven the enemy out without help from the West.
    I find it amazing that the powers that be US, UK, EU etc are surprise how little resistance (if any) was put up against the Taliban.
    Listening to the Taliban leader they say it will be a different Taliban this time, they will allow females to go to school but only up to the age of 12, and they will still cut limbs off for thieves and stone (I assume women) for adultery.
     
  15. SimonW

    SimonW Administrator
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    Some of that's because Biden sticks to the script that was carefully workshopped by the communications department. Trump would have gone off script, called the country a shit hole full of murderous 'hombres' (as I doubt he can tell the difference between a Mexican and an Afgan) before spending an hour going on and on about how great he is. It makes it much easier to go in hard on Trump.

    There is also the fact that the pullout is all Trump doing and even if Biden had wanted to he couldn't have stopped it as the house and its Trumpites would have almost certainly blocked it. He might have been able to issue an executive order to stop it but having checked that up I'm getting different answers to if he can in situations like this. As such if you want to be negative of Biden about this its hard to be really tough on him without the shadow of Trump derailing the article
     
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  16. Offcomedun

    Offcomedun Important Player
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    So what was Biden supposed to have done then? Sent back the 15,000 troops that Trump pulled out? Can you imagine the outcry from all sides of the political spectrum if he'd done that? And the response from Congress and Senate? He was on a hiding to nothing. Trump's 'deal' with the Taliban left 2.5k US troops remaining in there as sitting ducks with the agreed withdrawal date already past and no ceasefire immunity. The damage had already been done and Biden was left holding a poison chalice.
     
  17. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    The issue seems to be that we have trained the Afghan army in the image of a Western army. Reliant on surveillance, air support and communication infrastructure which is why they could be supported with basically a minimal operational presence. Its worth remembering that no US soldier has died in Afghanistan since February 2020 so all the fighting was actually being done by the local army......which makes Bidens statement all the more disgusting.

    When the US removed those key aspects they were basically back to being an armed militia who were at a disadvantage to the Taliban despite lesser numbers.

    But as a general point you're quite right in that it's easy for politicians to make decisions on war when they're not going. It's why the guys with knowledge of military operations who spoke today were so impressive. Once you have people there you should see it through though rather than leaving the people you're fighting in a stronger position than when you started and leaving people who have supported you to their fate.
     
  18. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    I get all that but the US generals knew the Afghan army was only a sixth of the 300,000 claimed, The Afghan army themselves had no food or ammunition's and had not been paid for weeks, Is it any surprise they took the amnesty offered by the Taliban to change sides, The US has spent around $78 Billion dollars, They supplied the Afghans with the most up to date military weapons that are now in the Taliban hands,
    Biden knew what defeat looked like and was brave enough to tak the right decision, It has saved many many lives

    Read this from the New York Times,
    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/13/world/asia/afghanistan-rapid-military-collapse.html
     
    #27 trevor, Aug 18, 2021
    Last edited: Aug 18, 2021
  19. SimonW

    SimonW Administrator
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    The thing is we don't actually know that. I would point to the fact that neither the Senate nor the House had any bills proposed to overturn the decision and the reason is two-fold.
    • There are still enough Trumpites to kill any Bill via the attachment of amendments. It's one of the most common way bills are killed by attaching amendments, often on something unconnected that you know the other side can't agree to.
    • The American people were largely in favour of the pull out, especially in Red states so no republican can really break rank but also in many close democratic states meaning many of them to have little choice to cross the aisle especially those in the house and the senates who are in year 5 of their 6 year term as by this point they are having to think about their re-election (in fact even those in year 3 are likely to be having an eye on 2024's re-election run)
    So while it could be what Biden wants it, it could very well be that it's something he like the senate's and congressmen know in the timescale available that they can't get through without impacting other areas and by doing he would hurt his base in swing states. And as politics, even more so in the US is often about the optics and you can't be seen losing, especially when its something the majority of the country will want you to lose on, you have to be see as being on what the public consider the 'right' side and the pull out, even with the mess it is right now is what the majority of Americans are in favour of
     
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  20. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    Well if it's not something he wants he's doing a damn fine job of justifying and doubling down on it. Why are we making excuses when we can hear his actual words, he's not had his arm put up his back.

    Unless the senate and Congress are writing his speeches as well?

    I agree it will go down pretty well in the insular parts of America (I mentioned it was a ll a little bit "Little Englander" but that's the actual worry when so much of our policy is intrinsically tied to their capabilities. An MP said on TV this morning that Trump was overtly 'America First' but Biden is actually coming across as 'America Only'.
     
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