COVID-19

People missing treatments due to GPs shutting up shop and operation waiting lists shooting up?

 

if that's what you believe.

 

That is a really good point Aaron and is definitely worth investigating the data.

Here's a great link to a site published by OHID that will give you insights into that question.

https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiYmUwNmFhMjYtNGZhYS00NDk2LWFlMTAtOTg0OGNhNmFiNGM0IiwidCI6ImVlNGUxNDk5LTRhMzUtNGIyZS1hZDQ3LTVmM2NmOWRlODY2NiIsImMiOjh9

There are good instructions on that page, and then if you click on the links on the left you can go to data based on age, ethnic group, etc.

 

The way the focus has almost exclusively been on Covid has no doubt seen many people missed from treatments they would otherwise have got.
https://www.nationalhealthexecutive.com/articles/covid-causes-rise-late-cancer-diagnosis

 

I know. That's where I got the info from.

But the question still remains.

 

But then they also release figures of deaths were covid is a factor on the death certificate. In the example you have given covid wouldn't be listed unless the doctors believe it made the heart issue worse or caused it.

 

That could explain some of the excess deaths going forward but not in the first part

 

I agree but that's diagnosis and discovery rather than deaths. The repercussions of that are likely to be more long term.

In fact if you look on that took that's just been posted you'll see that many of the "usual" causes of death have remained static so the excess deaths have to be something else.

 

Any leaks from the Cobra meeting yet?

 

What to do with the COVID patients though - chuck them on the street. One of my current research projects is with colorectal surgeons. Last Dec through Feb a couple of them were seconded to work with COVID patients due to the volume and many of the theatres they would normally be operating in were converted to makeshift ICU bays. How can they operate on colorectal cancers whilst caring for COVID patients in an operating theatre that is now an ICU bay?

 

Party at No 10 Christmas Eve

 

This is aa must read. Talk of vaccine passports and lockdowns are completely non sensical and reflect an incompetent, malignant government.

 

As schools have now finished one would hope that they don't push the panic button.

School closures are as good as shutting down large parts of our society so is a lockdown on its own merits.

The news that government has been modeling on the outcome they want to implement policy for rather than an outcome on probability of what would happen and real world data from South Africa would give the government some very difficult questions should they impose anything.

Boris's political stance at the moment is very week. Lord Frost resigning, 100 Tory MPs standing up against mild restrictions never mind telling people who they can have and not have in their households, the by-election mauling and further picture of No10 living in their own bubble almost make it political suicide for Boris to impose restrictions without seeing letters flood into the 1922 committee.

The booster programme would be thrown to the wolves should any lockdown be announced. People aren't queuing up in the numbers of 1m per day to find themselves lockdown after having 3 jabs.

Behaviour changes already implemented. People don't want to be locked down on Christmas day so I think you are seeing people talking more caution anyhow, I think this caution will disappear after Christmas, but now people are desperate to spend Christmas together and are doing their own risk assessments.

 

Mark Harper has just asked the usual question where he got the fobbed off

 

If Boris is looking for a way out for himself all he has to do is put a full lockdown to the cabinet and say back me or I will quit and then the same to his party. If they don't back him he could quit and blame them.

I don't think they would back him so it would be an easy exit for him

 

Bit like last year when Tier 4 started on Boxing Day and then full lockdown just after New Year