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Brexit

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by Park bantam, Jun 14, 2018.

  1. Edin Nowhere

    Edin Nowhere Impact Sub
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    I agree in part but what you have is MPs who will vote down anything because they are looking to stay in the EU at all costs so whether they had an hour, a week, a month or a year to look at it they have already made their minds up.

    To me leaving the EU is only worth doing if you can negotiate your own trade deals and set your own laws. Putting in amendments that remove this and you might aswell just stay in the EU. A lot of these amendments are to give the remainers Brexit in name only.

    I saw on the Andrew Neil show last night a political commentator said that a large number of Labour MPs are against a general election and a vote on one could see a large number of rebels. Why are they scared? Well I guess they are now starting to realise that over 140 of them represent leave seats, they maybe in a little trouble when the electorate has their say.
     
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  2. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    I'm not sure Corbyn alone is the reason such as me and most of my friends and family have been Labour supporters all our lives will turn their backs on the present Labour party.
    Many pasted Labour voters will never forget or forgive them for the way they have conducted themselves during these last 3 years with regards brexit.
    When the Tories get re-elected it will be just short of 15 years that the Labour party have been out of power, and what is ironic is those years have been very difficult for your natural Labour voters yet they couldn't unseat the Tories through those 10years of austerity.
     
  3. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    Good post @Edin Nowhere@Edin Nowhere.
     
  4. Tony Wilkinson

    Tony Wilkinson Squad Player
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    As long as you realise that the austerity had to be done because the last labour regime left us skint as they always did...
     
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  5. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    They were difficult times Tony no one could disagree, but it was not the Labour party that started the subprime 2008 financial crisis, that was America and the situation knocked on around the world.
    Unfortunatly when ever there is a crisis financial or otherwise its the poorest in society that get the biggest clobbering, which in my opinion was a kick in the teeth when Cameron made the comment over and over again "we're all in together" really Dave !! the well heald will get through it better than those at the other end of the spectrum.
    And hough out those times we have seen the gap between the haves and have nots grown wider and wider.

    You can take the lad out of Labour but you cant take Labour out of the lad, if I'm still around in years to come I could see myself voting Labour again, so you Tories only have me onboard .temporarily ;).
     
  6. Stafford Bantam

    Stafford Bantam Captain
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    Have a look at the detailed demographics behind the polls, they indicate that Labour has good support amongst the under 50s and a huge lead in the under 25s. For example, a You Gov poll last month had the following:
    • 65+ - Conservatives 46%, Labour 12%
    • 50 to 64 - Conservatives 36%, Labour 16%
    • 25 to 49 - Conservatives 25%, Labour 31%
    • 18 to 24 - Conservatives 8%, Labour 43%
    So the answer to your question is, yes, a lot of people do take the Labour party seriously, especially the young.

    Now, if the pattern of recent elections and the referendum continues, I would expect a higher percentage of older voters to turn out and, therefore, the Conservatives to do better than the raw data may suggest and, indeed, this is what the pollsters tend to do in their published headline results.

    If Boris Johnson succeeds in getting his December election, then I see a few hurdles he will have to overcome, in order to get the majority he needs:
    1. Not hemorrhaging votes to the Brexit party - how the Brexit party approach the election could be key [also see note* below];
    2. The young turning out in high numbers to vote - apathy amongst the young is Boris's friend;
    3. The weather - bad winter weather on election day to could seriously hit the turnout amongst older voters;
    4. The opposition alliance - it doesn't look likely at the moment, but any sort of electoral agreement between the opposition parties could significantly impact on the number of Conservative MPs elected.
    Note* - One other factor that has come out in a couple of recent polls was the Brexit delay question. There were clear indications, in these polls, that if Boris Johnson delayed Brexit beyond 31 October, then there would be a swing away from the Conservatives towards the Brexit party.

    So, yes, the polls currently indicate that the Conservatives will get significantly more seats than Labour, and may well get an overall majority. However, I don't think there has ever been as much volatility amongst voters, in the lead up to an election, and almost anything could happen.

    And all this assumes we are heading towards a general election in the next couple of months.
     
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  7. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    Let's not let the facts get in the way of a good piece of prejudice.

    When Labour came to power in 1997, national debt was just under £400million.
    Immediately prior to the global financial crash, national debt under Labour was a little over £500million. (Labour even repaid some national debt in a couple of years)
    After the global financial crash and after the Govt had bailed out the banks, national debt was around £800million.
    When the Conservative Govt came in in 2010, they inherited this national debt of around £800 million.
    Last year after the Conservatives had been in power for 8 years, national debt stood at £1800 million .. and it's still growing.

    These are all numbers sourced from HM Treasury. Despite the Conservative's reputation for good financial governance, recent history suggests it's a bit of a myth.

    And no, I don't vote Labour
     
    Get Rid Of It and Bronco like this.
  8. Rogered Tart

    Rogered Tart Regular Starter
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    So Blair taking us into conflict in the middle east was a good thing. Nowt like a good old fashioned war to fill the coffers...
     
  9. Rogered Tart

    Rogered Tart Regular Starter
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    I’m no fan of politics and the houses of Parliament but i understand the need for a strong opposition party/ies. This country is going nowhere fast at the moment.
     
  10. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    What this survey clearly shows is that as we get older and wiser we lose the idealism of youth as the realities of life take over and vote Tory,
     
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  11. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    I'm not sure poor weather would have an effect on older voters, as many of them would be pensioners who have all day to register their vote and people who take voting as a duty rather than a one off.
    The polls suggest young voters would support Labour, I'd suggest those are young people who acctually have an insight to politics, I think many will vote the way their parents do because that is what they have heard for the last 3 years.
     
  12. Tony Wilkinson

    Tony Wilkinson Squad Player
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    It's often quoted and never denied that NO Labour government has ever left office with the finances in a better state than when they came in...
     
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  13. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    I wouldn't be voting Tory but for the fact they are the only party that wanted to deliver any type of brexit, maybe that's being selfish ?.
     
  14. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    I don't know who quotes this but if you look at the facts rather than listen to the rhetoric, the statement is true of almost every Govt in the 20th and 21st centuries. It isn't unique to a Labour government. And in the past quarter of a century, Labour's record is commendable when put alongside the Conservative's record. But the UK's media rarely if ever criticises the economic record of the Conservatives.

    You can ignore the facts if you wish but they are there for all to see whatever the Govt of the day may or may not say.
     
  15. Tony Wilkinson

    Tony Wilkinson Squad Player
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    Quote from John Major, I'm sure there are many more similar....
    " For every single Labour government we have ever had – from Ramsay MacDonald to Gordon Brown – has left an economic mess behind them. Every single time. And I cannot see how a government led by Mr Miliband would be any different.

    There is a pattern. Labour wrecks the economy. The Tories repair it but become unpopular in doing so. Labour is re-elected and wrecks it all over again. It is time to break this pattern."
     
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  16. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    One could argue that Labour under Blair had a really good economic running of the economy actually paying down debt for a number of years, It was only as Brown became more influential and the shackles of Blair on him were undone that an unfettered left leaning non elected prime minister that Browns economic management ruined it
     
    #2036 trevor, Oct 24, 2019
    Last edited: Oct 24, 2019
  17. Hoochy-Min

    Hoochy-Min Squad Player

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    We've had around 37 years of Tory Government out of the last 50. Any mess the economy is in is all on them.
     
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  18. Hoochy-Min

    Hoochy-Min Squad Player

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    Bronco's story really saddens me because there'll be thousands of Broncos all over the country who will vote tory simply because of brexit. People in pit village that were striking in the 80s will vote for Boris. Maggie is having the last laugh there.

    You can only blame the Labour Party really. I like Corbyn. I think he's a breath of fresh air and I think if he was given the opportunity he could make this country a fairer place for all. His leadership has coincided with the most divisive thing in modern times so he'll probably never get the chance. The ironic thing is that he's a 'leaver' and always has been. If only he could have led the Labour Party strongly with a united front on brexit he'd have walked the next election.
     
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  19. Dennis

    Dennis Captain
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    Corbyn is simply unelectable as a future PM. And whilst he stays surrounded by the likes on Andrew Murray, Seamus Milne, Karie Murphy, Len McCluskey, Jon Lansman etc he will remain unelectable. He lacks integrity imo and it still isn't clear where he personally stands on Brexit. The Labour party's doomed ambiguous policy on Brexit with their mixed messages will prove costly for them in the not too distant future. And then it will over for Jezza.
     
  20. trevor

    trevor Squad Player
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    Corbyn is a weak leader and although a leaver he is under the control of Kear Starmer a devout remainer, Corbyn in power would be disastrous for the country as he would resume links with his terrorist friends
     

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