31st December points total ..........

We have just ten league games remaining in 2018, of which six are away.
Some are already certain we are a relegation team, in waiting.

Oct 27 ....... Gillingham A
Nov 03........Portsmouth H
........17........Peterborough A
........24........Oxford H
........27........Luton A
Dec 08........Plymouth A
........15........Walsall H
........22........Scunthorpe H
........26........Sunderland A
........29........Rochdale A

So - With just TEN points on the board so far, from 15 games ....... What are YOUR expectations as we enter 2019 ?

I'll start with 17.
Over to you, folks.

 

Christ on a bike (sorry), I didn't even consider that. But surely not until Late March or so, eh ? And would Rupp allow administration ? It would probably tarnish his name.

 

OK

So the leading vote - by some distance is less than 16 points.
Well here's a thing to consider .............
IF that becomes the case - Why on Earth would City invest in recruitment in January - Good money after bad !

Each and every season I 'run' a graph on % points gained and lost, game by game.
I draw a thick black line across the chart at 50%, which represents a season end of 69 points.
This format has served ME well for many years, in assessing where we are at any given period, and an overview.

Given that we only have 10 points from the first 15 games, that represents a 35 total points deficit - OR on MY chart, a 22% points gained, and a colossal 78% points lost !!
I don't keep past records anymore, but I can't remember such a run in about 25 years of running this. NOW - Bearing in mind we have some really tough fixtures in November, I fully expect to see that 22% drop even further.

Further ......... Should my OWN (optimistic) prediction of 17 points be reached ..............
That would still only represent 22.5% points gained.
Does anyone actually believe the joint chairman will 'back' a Club with a 58 point / 77.5% total deficit, with only 21 games remaining ?
My other prediction could also be correct ......... Relegation confirmed after the Easter fixtures !

Will Hopkin walk ? He may well do after Rochdale Away.