Summer 2021 Transfers

what about Jamille Matt or Scott Quigley? cant help but think its up top number 9.

 

If I get time, I'll create a thread for analysis of our attacking output last year from the various data sources that are public.

But to weigh into the striker discussion, Cook and Novak both performed very well compared to their expected goals last year. The simplest way to look at it was that their conversion rate was relatively high, but as a team we didn't create enough chances (and, as it happens, xG from most other players was below the league averages, despite City overperforming xG as a team). Cook was one of the better performers in the league for just finishing chances, even compared to Doyle and Vaughan.



I know xG isn't everyone's cup of tea and it's not the be-all-and-end-all of discussion on who's good and who's not. It doesn't analyse players' ability to bring others into play, to create space or all manner of things that are best observed in person, but it does offer a window into one aspect of performance. It can be argued (and I didn't see enough games) that Cook didn't get in enough positions to score, he didn't provide enough for others, but in sheer finishing terms he was one of the better League 2 players out there last year.

Again, on this chart, the further above the line you are, the 'better' the conversion, in simple terms (debatably, the further to the left, the more impressive that is because the expected deviation from the average is lower):


Looking at Morcambe, they had a lot of player performing to an expected level, but without single standout performers. Again, this is the analysis of a simpleton (me) and not an expert, but my initial thought is that they've created well and played with a style that has clicked well as a team. It basically looks like a side performing well across the board.




To add to this, I've only looked at last year's figures (because I couldn't get to games), obviously better patterns can be gained by looking across seasons, and no doubt City's team will be looking at this for each of their options, as well as all manner of other data available to them.

TLDR summary, whether it's Cook or Stockton or someone else, I wouldn't be too concerned - I don't think that the name of the nominal #9 will define our season, so much as the ability to get the rest of the team creating chances for those forwards and making good positions for other players to get involved in the scoring. If Adams feels comfortable working with Stockton and feels he brings more to the team, I think we definitely need to believe in his judgement to do so.

 

Blimey!!!

 

Sorry, I got a bit carried away there... you'll see from my post history I don't use one word when 200 will do!

 

How on earth can you judge him as a player because of his Man Utd ties. His career has never fallen to L2 level until now and looks like he can hold his own at this level. And Riley did ok at Carlisle last term by all accounts.

Absolute nonsense.

 

Wouldn't mind Hunter, seems to always do well against us but from memory has been used more as a wide attacker in the last few seasons? Adams seems to like a bit of physicality so maybe Jamille Matt? Or Sparks has 'sparked' up the interest again in McAleny, but can see him going to L1.

 

Muldoon signed new deal at Arrogate

 

Left winger.

 

Well done Bradford End, true or not it's sparked the thread back to life again.
Speculation can't beat it

 

Thanks for that. Very interesting.

 

Pretty clear that Callum Cooke, while a very influential player in that number 10 role, really needs to be increasing his goal threat. If he can't, I worry he'll have a low ceiling in the game. It's all right being the best player in a poor side, but can he be the stand out in a GOOD team?

 

Karl Guthrie and the better news? Park's in charge of negotiations.

 

That Wilson guy at port Vale innit

 

Would like to think the league 2 striker we have tabled a cash bid for is on this list at least. Bowman at Exeter is an interesting one and a very good player at this level.

 

for a cash bid for a l2 striker I hope so! From that list we can eliminate pretty much the first ten as most are in other leagues now or OOC. Bowman is a good shout though.

 

Cant wait till we sign #nominal number9, I've heard he's lethal in the box and really knows how to bring #nominal number10 into the game.

 

Jamille Matt at Forest Green? Briefly played under Adams at Plymouth.

 

Yes !

 

Yes its him or yes you would like it to be him ?

 

You, my friend, clearly have no sense of humour gene