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COVID-19

Discussion in 'General Chat' started by king karl, Feb 15, 2020.

  1. Storck

    Storck Regular Starter

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    They have been told not to contact as the police will not be attending.
     
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  2. Fordy117

    Fordy117 Just call me Mr Flip-Flop!
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    Well this is the problem isn't it?The weak government who isn't enforcing the law.
     
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  3. Aleman

    Aleman Fringe Player

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    I think the hospitalisation and deaths trend might be being influenced by the the violet line in figure 4 - infections in those aged 80+. Note the dip during Eat out to Help Out and sliight rebound afterwards as 20-29 infections fell back slightly. If I'm right, the sharp rise in hospital admissions in the second week in September will ease a bit, although it will also depend on what happens in care homes, where we seem to have a problem again after delays in staff getting test results.

    Https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/919092/Weekly_COVID19_Surveillance_Report_week_38_FINAL.pdf
     
  4. king karl

    king karl Administrator
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    A little nervous, but yesterday I volunteered for the COVID-19 vaccine trials held in London . The vaccine is one that was created in Russia. I received my first shot this morning at 7:00 am, and I wanted to let you all know that it’s completely safe, with иo side effects whatsoeveя, and that I feelshκι χoρoshό я чувствую себя немного странно и я думаю, что вытащил ослиные уши.
     
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  5. Stafford Bantam

    Stafford Bantam Captain
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    Have you suddenly got the urge to visit Salisbury?
     
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  6. Bronco

    Bronco Star Player
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    jack laughing.gif
     
  7. How

    How Knows Football
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    Baffling logic. What police? How many retail stores are there in the city? And on any one shift how many police officers are there free to go around and fine people in store for not wearing a mask?

    Masks are an extra measure and should not be imposed in such a draconian way. They are not the seeming concrete fix to stopping it
     
  8. Stafford Bantam

    Stafford Bantam Captain
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    Masks can be extremely effective, even the use of N95 masks can be over 99% effective with COVID-19 (and yes I know what the '95' technically stands for).

    However, poor quality masks used in a haphazard fashion are most certainly not a concrete fix to stopping the virus.
     
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  9. Nottsy

    Nottsy Squad Player

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    At what stage does everyone go outside on a Thursday to clap and bash pans, pretending they give a shit about nurses?
     
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  10. Craven Cottager

    Craven Cottager Squad Player

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    Nah. They just concentrate on breaking it.
     
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  11. Storck

    Storck Regular Starter

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    I was pointing out that Fordy was talking rubbish by saying it is retail fault for not enforcing the law when it isn’t their job, it is the police job.
     
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  12. Fordy117

    Fordy117 Just call me Mr Flip-Flop!
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    Because of the idiot Matt Handcock and the extremely poor PM in Boris Johnson we need all these extra measures to take place.

    The lack of testing is the reason why.
     
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    How likes this.
  13. Keefly Bantam

    Keefly Bantam Important Player
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    Are you now like that kid on the Ready Brek ads?

    download.jpg
     
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  14. Frank Castle

    Frank Castle Captain
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    That has to be one of the most ridiculous comparisons ever. :brig:
     
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  15. Fordy117

    Fordy117 Just call me Mr Flip-Flop!
    Bubbles car wash

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    Glad you like it :joy: Try it tomorrow and lets see how far you get? I suggest you use a toy gun.
     
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  16. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    France struggling like hell to contain it. As it has throughout this process it probably gives a pretty good indicator where things are heading here unless people take some action.

    They reported a further 311 deaths today. With 3,894 admitted to hospital over the last seven days - 593 in intensive care.
     
  17. Aleman

    Aleman Fringe Player

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    Parts of France and Spain missed wave 1. They unlocked. What do you expect to happen? It does not mean that places in the UK that had wave1 will follow.


    The updated new cases by date of specimen donation (not lab reporting) is interesting. Quite a lot has been added to recent dates (big backlog?) so the trend no longer looks flat to slightly down for the UK. It now looks flat to maybe slightly up but there are interesting nuances to the regional breakdown. England and Wales look like they are flat to rising slowly and maybe could be topping out, while Scotland and Northern Ireland's rises look steadier and less like topping. Drill down a bit further and we have:

    East Midlands firmly down
    East England slightly down
    London firmly down
    Northeast firmly up
    Northwest firmly up
    Southest firmly down
    Southwest slightly down
    West Midlands slightly down/flat
    Yorkshire and Humber flat/slightly up

    On this data, we should only be comsidering locking down regions to the north of Yorkshire rather than nationwide.

    If you drill down further to a local authority level, there are some fascinating differences. Many southern authorities have already peaked comfortably and are falling while many northern places are still rising. It's very reminiscent of the US states after they relaxed lockdown. You could see one state after another peaking and falling away. It became almost like dominoes toppling, until the overall trend turned down. The position in the domino chain looked to be based on the severity of the first wave and built up immunity. Perhaps it's the same here?

    Nonetheless, the fact so many authorities in southern and central England have already peaked suggests others will not be far behind. That would mean no need for any more lockdowns (or vaccine except for the vulnerable). Maybe we are closer to Sweden than we realise.

    We're young people socialising more the reason behind the 85% fall in rate of new cases in Swindon through August and September? It does not fit the narrative.

    Https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases?areaType=ltla&areaName=Swindon

    Most parts of London look to have peaked already. It does not fit the narrative.

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases?areaType=ltla&areaName=Croydon

    Not even had much second wave.

    Https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases?areaType=ltla&areaName=Guildford

    Done?

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases?areaType=ltla&areaName=Sevenoaks

    And remember all these are have shown falling trends as testing increased.
     
    #6697 Aleman, Sep 20, 2020
    Last edited: Sep 20, 2020
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  18. Aaron Baker

    Aaron Baker Impact Sub

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    Parts of every country missed wave 1 I suppose.

    I expected exactly what's happening. Nothing about rising infections, hospitalisations and deaths with more social interactions would be a surprise.

    And yep. There are localised anomalies but like everything else that has been prematurely seen positively they will likely smooth out over time unless there are further changes. Remember when it was just Eastern Europeans and wasn't spreading in the local community.

    There's always some positive aspect to cling to because nothing is uniform and the lag in the changes looks to be larger than I'd probably expect.

    On the graphs how long does it take for each day to become 100% accurate?
     
    #6698 Aaron Baker, Sep 20, 2020
    Last edited: Sep 20, 2020
  19. Keefly Bantam

    Keefly Bantam Important Player
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    Do you?
     
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  20. Nottsy

    Nottsy Squad Player

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    No.
     

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